1Glassnode data shows Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 in 50 percent of US trading sessions over the past 90 sessions.
2Bitcoin's session win rate had not exceeded 50 percent since March 2025.
3Historical data from Capriole Investments shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 10.7 percent in the three months following similar midterm election outcomes.
4Bitcoin's average per-session gains were reported to be slightly higher than those of the S&P 500 during the measured period.
5TradingView data indicates Bitcoin's rolling 20-day correlation with the S&P 500 stands at 0.63.
Key takeaway
Bitcoin has shown signs of renewed strength by matching the S&P 500 in recent trading session win rates, while historical election data suggests favorable conditions for traditional equities.
Short-term impact (days–weeks)
▲ BULLISH
Bitcoin may see continued positive momentum if its trading session win rate holds above 50 percent.
Medium-term impact (1–3 months)
● NEUTRAL
Broader macroeconomic trends and traditional market correlations could influence medium-term direction.
Key risks
Historical stock market trends do not guarantee future performance.
High correlation with traditional equities could expose Bitcoin to broader stock market downturns.
Onchain metrics and win rates can shift rapidly based on market volatility.
This page summarizes and analyzes publicly reported news. Read the full story at the original source. AI-generated analysis — not financial advice.